THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON GROUNDWATER
INTRODUCTION
Water
is indispensable for life, but its availability at a sustainable quality and
quantity is threatened by many factors, of which climate plays a leading
role (IPCC, 1995). Groundwater is the major source of drinking water in
Africa and has a rapidly expanding role in irrigation to combat growing food
insecurity. This module deals with both the impact of climate change on
groundwater resources, It is important to recall the global extent of climate
change, and to consider the impacts on the scale of the global hydrologic
cycle.
Of
Africa’s population of 1 billion, roughly 60% live in rural areas. Around 80%
of them rely on groundwater-based community or household supplies for domestic
and other water needs (WHO/UNICEF, 2008).
Currently
there are more than 300 million people in Africa without access to safe
drinking water, many of whom are amongst the poorest and most vulnerable in the
world (MacDonald, A.; Bonsor, H.C.; Dochartaigh, B.E.O.; Taylor, R.,, 2012).
Climate variability and change influences groundwater systems both directly
through replenishment by recharge and indirectly through changes in groundwater
use. These impacts can be modified by human activity such as land-use
change (Taylor, Nature Climate
change, 2013).
Climate
change is “an altered state of the climate that can be identified by change in
the mean and/or variability of its properties and that persists for an extended
period, typically decades or longer”. It may be due to “natural internal
processes or external forcing, or to persistent anthropogenic changes in the
composition of the atmosphere or in land use” (IPCC, 2007).
Climate
change affects water resources around the world in generally unknown ways.
Potential impacts of climate change on surface water particularly projected
regional climate patterns and trends (i.e., climate variability and change)
have been studied in some detail. Yet, little is known about how subsurface
waters will respond to climate
change coupled with human activities
We
refer to all subsurface water as ‘‘groundwater’’, including soil water and
unconfined and confined aquifer waters. Distinctions can be made between these
components of groundwater, noting interactions between them and surface water.
The
challenges of understanding climate-change impact on groundwater are
unprecedented because climate change may affect hydrogeological processes and
groundwater resources directly and indirectly (Allen, D. M., Mackie, D. C.,
Wei, M., 2004). In ways that have not been explored sufficiently
Observational
data and climate predictions provide abundant evidence that freshwater
resources (both surface and groundwater resources) are vulnerable and have the
potential to be strongly affected by climate
change, with wide-ranging consequences for society and
ecosystems (Calow, R.; MacDonald, A, 2009).
Today,
climate change may account for approximately 20% of projected increases in
water scarcity globally (Bouraoui, F., Vachaud, G., Li, L. Z. X., Le
Treut, H,, Chen, T., 1999).
Thus,
there is a need to evaluate and understand climatic variability over the long
term to better plan and manage groundwater resources well into the future,
while taking into consideration the increasing stresses on those resources from
population growth and industrial, agricultural, and ecological needs (Warner,
S.D., 2007).
In this
project we appraise the state of the science of global change related to all
components of groundwater. Scientific issues and methods are placed in the
context of global programs aimed at assessment of groundwater resources and adaptation
to climate change. The current emphasis is on regional case studies with the
potential for global analogues to inform decisions where detailed studies are
not presently feasible. In this synthesis of results to date, we provide the
type of soft information needed to generalize scientific knowledge and the
controlling factors specific to each case study.
1.2
PROBLEM STATEMENT
In
recent decades, a wide array of scientific research has been carried out to
better understand how water resources might respond to global change. However,
research has been focused dominantly on surface-water systems, due to their
visibility, accessibility and more obvious recognition of surface waters being
affected by global change. Only recently, water resources managers and
politicians are recognizing the important role played by groundwater resources
in meet the demands for drinking water, agricultural and industrial activities,
and sustaining ecosystems, as well as in the adaptation to and mitigation of
the impacts of climate
change and coupled human activities.
These
changes in global climate are expected to affect the hydrological cycle,
altering surface-water levels and groundwater recharge to aquifers with various
other associated impacts on natural ecosystems and human activities. Although
the most noticeable impacts of climate change could be changes in surface water
levels and quality there are potential effects on the quantity and quality of
groundwater
This
research I believe will ultimately save a lot of time especially when people do
not have to spend money in carrying out agricultural practice or study purpose
1.3 AIM
The aim
of the work is to determine the impact of climate
change on groundwater by studying Climate parameters of the soil and
atmosphere.
1.4
OBJECTIVES
a)
To generate an hourly record of soil moisture, humidity, dew point and
temperature
b)
To get an insight into the possible differences in the groundwater level of the
areas studied.
c)
To determine impacts of climate change on ground water level for the study
area, and to assess the sensitivity of the results to different global climate
models;
d)
Analyze weather parameter
data and build future predicted climate change datasets with temperature,
humidity, soil moisture and dew point
e)
The time intervals between observations of these parameters (sometimes referred
to as data interval) are normally constant. These analyses would enable us to
know how these parameters fluctuated with the respect to time and how the fast
Fourier transform corrects the irregularities from the frequency trends.
1.5
SIGNIFICANCE OF WORK
This
project has the advantage that it is very useful in determining the variations
in climate parameters, the suitability of such place for agricultural and study
purpose and in determining groundwater level change in three different regions.
1.6
GEOLOGY OF STUDY AREA
The
choice of study area for this work was picked at random. For the rural region,
a town called Olomoro, Delta state, in Isoko South Local Government Area while
for the urban location, a region called Afiesere, Delta state, in Ughelli North
was picked. As for Urban-rural location, Ugbomro town, Delta state was picked.
1.7
ARRANGEMENT OF WRITE-UP
In
chapter one, the introduction to the project is presented, the aim, objectives
and methodology were also presented. Chapter two covers the literature review.
Chapter
three presents the methodology and the process of data acquisition. Chapter
four covers the result from the acquired data and the Fortran analyzed graphs
of the three regions, while chapter five presents the conclusion and
recommendation.
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